OUR RATING SYSTEM
(*****) = do NOT miss! This one is as good as they come.
(****) = Fantastic - It's worth the price of the ticket (and then some).
(***) = Average - Nothing really bad, nothing really spectacular...
(**) = Perhaps you should find another movie to see.
(*) =
The bottom of the barrel. It would be hard to find something less entertaining or more unworthy of your time.



Maureen
(Mo) holds a PhD in marine geophysics (Dr. Maureen, to you) and works for the U.S. Geological Survey in Santa Cruz, CA. Maureen enjoys the outdoors (skiing, swimming, hiking, camping), dogs, cooking, singing, getting into (and out of) uncomfortable situations, and most importantly, watching quality movies. She makes a point of seeing as many Oscar-nominated films as possible each year and (correctly) predicting the winners. Her role on this blog is primarily as an advisor, collaborator, and "chime in"-er.

John (Jo) holds a Bachelor's Degree in Nursing, as well as a Bachelor of Arts degree in Film Studies. He currently lives in Chicago, Illinois and works as a nurse. His one true obsession in life is movies... The good, the bad, and everything in between. Other than that, he is busy caring for his cat, painting, writing, exploring Chicago, and debating on whether or not to worship Tilda Swinton as a deity. John is the master and commander and primary author of this blog.

Friday, January 13, 2012

Official Oscar Nomination Predictions


In less than 48 hours, we will officially know the nominees for the 84th Academy Awards. Thus far, the field has remained wide open in several fields. Some films seemed locked in many categories as of now (The Artist, anyone?) but others present Academy voters with difficult choices - narrowing down a field of dozens of nominees to just 5.

Based on the various awards presented thus far in the season, here are MoJo's official predictions for the nominees. See how we do come Tuesday morning!



BEST PICTURE
The Artist
The Descendants
The Help
War Horse
Moneyball
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

This year the Academy has shortened the required nominees - it can be a field anywhere from 5 to 10 nominees, depending on how high they are placed in the voting. 'The Tree of Life' has taken a nose dive in the past month and 'Midnight In Paris' has exploded on the awards circuit. There seems like a possibility of a 'War Horse' or 'Moneyball' snub in place of 'Drive' or 'The Ides of March' - watch out for potential spoilers!


BEST DIRECTOR
Hugo (Martin Scorsese)
The Artist (Michel Hazanavicius)
The Descendants (Alexander Payne)
Midnight in Paris (Woody Allen)
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (David Fincher)

Following suite, it seems like Steven Speilberg could face a potential snub come Tuesday morning in place of a consecutive David Fincher nomination. These are the nominees for the DGA, the most accurate determinant of the Academy Awards. For now, these seem like the safe bet. Could Terrence Malick sneak in? We doubt it at this point.


BEST ACTOR
Brad Pitt-Moneyball
George Clooney-The Descendants
Jean Dujardin-The Artist
Michael Fassbender-Shame
Leonardo DiCaprio-J Edgar

The most vulnerable actor is DiCaprio - starring in a critically-panned film that has all but been forgotten. His snub could become a reality to be replaced by Michael Shannon in 'Take Shelter' or Ryan Gosling in either 'Drive' or 'The Ides of March.' Don't be surprised.


BEST ACTRESS
Meryl Streep-The Iron Lady
Viola Davis-The Help
Glenn Close-Albert Nobbs
Tilda Swinton-We Need To Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams-My Week With Marilyn

This may be the most established category of the year - as each of these five women have consecutively appeared on best actress lists from various awards. Glenn Close may be the most vulnerable, but don't bet against her. There are really no other women who stand a chance at a nomination aside from Rooney Mara or perhaps Kristin Dunst for 'Melancholia.'


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christopher Plummer-Beginners
Albert Brooks-Drive
Nick Nolte-Warrior
Kenneth Branagh-My Week With Marilyn
Jonah Hill-Moneyball

Another category where all the nominees seem essentially locked. Armie Hammer could sneak in in place of Jonah Hill, but considering the ratings of each film, Moneyball is the more likely choice. Viggo Mortensen for 'A Dangerous Method' seems like a long shot but the next safest bet.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Octavia Spencer-The Help
Jessica Chastain-The Help
Bernice Bejo-The Artist
Janet McTeer-Albert Nobbs
Shailene Woodley-The Descendants

This is a 6 person field with only 5 slots. Can Melissa McCarthy score a nomination for 'Bridesmaids?' I would like to say no, but if the Academy chooses her, be prepared for Woodley to be pushed aside.


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Artist
Midnight in Paris
Bridesmaids
Tree of Life
50/50

'Young Adult' or 'Beginners' could squeeze in, but this seems like a safe bet. Is 'Bridesmaids' really a worthy screenplay? Perhaps, perhaps not. Either way, this seems like the safest category for the Academy to reward the film (if they see fit).


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Moneyball
The Descendants
Hugo
The Help
The Ides of March

This is a wide open field with room for 'War Horse,' 'The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo,' 'Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy,' etc. If the Academy loves George Clooney as much as is to be believed, expect him to score a Screenplay nomination for 'Ides' to go with Best Actor.


CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Tree of Life
War Horse
Hugo
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
The Artist

'Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy' received a Cinematography Guild nomination, so theoretically it stands a better chance than say, 'War Horse.' 'Moneyball' could also pop up, or 'Harry Potter' if the Academy decides to do some rewarding. Either way, 'The Tree of Life' is almost guaranteed the win, so the nominations could go into more obscure places ('Drive' or 'My Week With Marilyn?').


ART DIRECTION
The Artist
Hugo
The Tree of Life
Harry Potter 7 Pt II
War Horse

Possible upsets: 'Jane Eyre,' 'Anonymous,' or 'Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy'


COSTUME DESIGN
Hugo
Jane Eyre
The Help
The Artist
My Week With Marilyn

'Anonymous' or 'W.E.' could pop up here, but as of now all fields are covered with these 5 nominees: period pieces, biopics, fantasy, old Hollywood.


EDITING
The Artist
The Descendants
War Horse
Hugo
Moneyball

'The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo' would be the next safe bet, but these should be the 5 that are announced, give or take 'Moneyball' for 'The Tree of Life.'


MAKEUP
The Iron Lady
Hugo
Harry Potter 7 Pt II


Assuming there are only 3 nominees, those seem like the most likely choices, with 'Iron Lady' the seeming frontrunner. As of now, there are only 7 possibilities, as the Academy narrows down the field to 7. The other 4 are: 'Albert Nobbs,' 'The Artist,' 'Anonymous,' & 'Gainsbourg.' If 'The Artist' is going to be the big winner everyone says, then it will most likely replace 'Hugo.'


ORIGINAL SCORE
The Artist
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
War Horse
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Hugo

'The Artist' is the only lock, so theoretically 'The Help' or 'The Tree of Life' could score nominations for Thomas Newman and Alexandre Desplat, respectively. Both men are disastrously overdue for an Oscar, but their waits will most likely continue. 'Moneyball' could also prove to be the dark horse.


VISUAL EFFECTS
Harry Potter 7 Pt II
Rise of Planet of the Apes
The Tree of Life
Hugo
Super 8

'Super 8' may be a long shot, but this could be the perfect place to honor that amazing film from the first half of the year.


BEST SOUND MIXING
Hugo
Transformers: Dark Side of the Moon
Super 8
War Horse
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol

Possible spoilers: 'The Adventures of Tintin,' 'Pirates of the Caribbean 4,' or 'The Artist' in a long shot.


BEST SOUND EDITING
Super 8
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
The Adventures of Tintin
Mission Impossible - Ghost Protocol

Honestly the sound categories could go in almost any direction.


BEST DOCUMENTARY
Project Nim
Bill Cunningham, New York
Hell and Back Again
Paradise Lost 3
Pina

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
A Separation
In Darkness
Mondieur Lazhar
Pina
Footnote

Narrowed down from a shortlist of 9 announced by the Academy

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