OUR RATING SYSTEM
(*****) = do NOT miss! This one is as good as they come.
(****) = Fantastic - It's worth the price of the ticket (and then some).
(***) = Average - Nothing really bad, nothing really spectacular...
(**) = Perhaps you should find another movie to see.
(*) = The bottom of the barrel. It would be hard to find something less entertaining or more unworthy of your time.



Maureen (Mo) holds a PhD in marine geophysics (Dr. Maureen, to you) and works for the U.S. Geological Survey in Santa Cruz, CA. Maureen enjoys the outdoors (skiing, swimming, hiking, camping), dogs, cooking, singing, getting into (and out of) uncomfortable situations, and most importantly, watching quality movies. She makes a point of seeing as many Oscar-nominated films as possible each year and (correctly) predicting the winners. Her role on this blog is primarily as an advisor, collaborator, and "chime in"-er.

John (Jo) holds a Bachelor's Degree in Nursing, as well as a Bachelor of Arts degree in Film Studies. He currently lives in Chicago, Illinois and works as a nurse. His one true obsession in life is movies... The good, the bad, and everything in between. Other than that, he is busy caring for his cat, painting, writing, exploring Chicago, and debating on whether or not to worship Tilda Swinton as a deity. John is the master and commander and primary author of this blog.

Saturday, January 18, 2014

SAG Predictions


SAG Awards. The best precursor to the Oscars in terms of acting races. If you win Best Ensemble, you've heightened your chances to win Best Picture. If you win here, Oscar is all but in your forecast (unless you're Christoph Waltz, that is....) We've got a quick breakdown of categories and who seems poised to take home the statue tonight!


Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Barkhad Abdi / Muse – "Captain Phillips"
Daniel Brühl / Niki Lauda – "Rush"
Michael Fassbender / Edwin Epps – "12 Years a Slave"
James Gandolfini / Albert – "Enough Said"
Jared Leto / Rayon – "Dallas Buyers Club"

This is one of the few categories that is all but locked up.

Will win: Jared Leto
Should win: Jared Leto



Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Jennifer Lawrence / Rosalyn Rosenfeld – "American Hustle"
Lupita Nyong'o / Patsey – "12 Years a Slave"
Julia Roberts / Barbara Weston – "August: Osage County"
June Squibb / Kate Grant – "Nebraska"
Oprah Winfrey / Gloria Gaines – "Lee Daniels' The Butler"

Oh no. Lupita vs Jennifer. Star power vs raw talent. As of now, Jennifer Lawrence seems unstoppable. If there is any chance for Lupita to stay in contention for the Oscar, she needs to win this award tonight.  She just won at the Critics Choice and gave a beautiful speech, but SAG votes had already been submitted. As of now, it's an incredibly close race, and this will ensure the upper hand for the rest of the awards season. Poor Oprah, she'll get her Oscar one day...

Will win: Jennifer Lawrence
Should win: Lupita N'yongo



Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett / Jasmine – "Blue Jasmine"
Sandra Bullock / Ryan Stone – "Gravity"
Judi Dench / Philomena Lee – "Philomena"
Meryl Streep / Violet Weston – "August: Osage County"
Emma Thompson / P.L. Travers – "Saving Mr. Banks"

Locked and loaded. The only TRUE acting lock of the night. And so deserved, as well. Cate had better start drafting some more acceptance speeches.

Will win: Cate Blanchett
Should win: Cate Blanchett



Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Bruce Dern / Woody Grant – "Nebraska"
Chiwetel Ejiofor / Solomon Northup – "12 Years a Slave"
Tom Hanks / Capt. Richard Phillips – "Captain Phillips"
Matthew McConaughey / Ron Woodroof – "Dallas Buyers Club"
Forest Whitaker / Cecil Gaines – "Lee Daniels' The Butler"

This is the race that has done a 180 in the past week. With Matthew winning the Globe and the Critics Choice Award, it seems like he's out front to win it all. And on paper, it makes sense. Weight loss, true story, AID's-related topic. In my heart, Mr. Ejiofor still has the best acted role hands down. Again, if we want to keep him in the Oscar talk, he must win. This is starting to look more and more like the 2009 race when Sandra Bullock began to sweep everything. McConaughey has the star power and likability. If McConaughey wins, I think Best Actor is all over.

Will win: Matthew McConaughey
Should win: Chiwetel Ejiofor



Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Dallas Buyers Club
Lee Daniels' The Butler

As we have said in years past, there are certain rules to follow when predicting. Keep it cold and calculated. Don't put emotion into it. Yes, everyone thinks American Hustle is locked to win, but historically speaking, the film with the most nominated actors in the cast usually wins. Argo won this category last year. Do you remember more than 2 actors from that movie? No. But it had the most individual nominations - leading to a more universal support - leading to a win. Generally speaking. This year, the movie with the largest cast is The Butler. However, SAG doesn't want to look outdated or 'off-trend.' They've been very good at predicting Best Picture before, and they'll want this award to seem important. Last year, everyone thought Silver Linings Playbook was locked to win this same award (another David O. Russell movie), but it was shut out. Sometimes, it's not always the most obvious choice in this category, especially considering that the film with the next-largest cast is 12 Years a Slave.

Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Should win: 12 Years a Slave

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